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Clyde Edwards-Helaire Rushing Yards Player Prop - Week 19 - AFC Wild Card Game
Kansas City Chiefs vs Pittsburgh Steelers
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Right now, Clyde Edwards-Helaire Rushing Yards Prop is Over/Under 40.5 (-114/-114).
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PROS:
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His 51.0% snap rate this year puts him in the #77 percentile among running backs.His carry rate of 52.5% this year puts him in the #83 percentile among running backs.In a neutral context, Kansas City has run the #10-fastest paced offense this season.The Kansas City Chiefs are projected to run 65.1 plays in this matchup, the #4-most on the game slate.The Chiefs are a 11.5 point favorite. This indicates an extreme rushing game script.THE BLITZ projects this offense as the #4-most run-heavy of the week (based on team tendencies and matchup factors), expecting them to run on 39.8% of their plays.The Steelers defense has allowed 145 rushing yards per game to opponents this year, #31-least in football.The Pittsburgh Steelers have allowed 5.02 yards per attempt on the ground this year, putting them #31-best in the metric this season.The defensive tackles of Pittsburgh have been the #26-most effective unit among all teams in 2021.
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CONS:
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Edwards-Helaire finds himself in the #69 percentile in rushing yards per game in 2021, averaging 52 yards.This year, the Chiefs have played in the #1-most games with 15 mph+ winds. Because teams tend to run more when it's windy, Kansas City's play-calling Run% may appear higher than it ought to be.Kansas City has been the #31-most run-heavy offense in the NFL this year with a 29.4% run rate in a neutral context.The defensive ends of Pittsburgh have been the #2-most effective unit among all teams in 2021.
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NEUTRAL:
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The offensive line is crucial to open up holes, and Kansas City's ranks #14 in that regard this season.The linebackers of Pittsburgh have been the #18-most effective unit among all teams in 2021.The safeties of Pittsburgh have been the #21-most effective unit among all teams in 2021.
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© 2021 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™
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