My Account Log Out
Chase Claypool

Chase Claypool Receiving Yards Player Prop - Week 14

Minnesota Vikings vs Pittsburgh Steelers
Chase Claypool Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 50.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 51.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 50.5 @ -115.
  • Claypool has been on the field for 81.3% of his team's snaps this season, which ranks in the #83 percentile among wide receivers.
  • He has run a route on 85.2% of Pittsburgh's dropbacks this season, which puts him in the #80 percentile among wide receivers.
  • His target share this season has been 19.4% -- #79 percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
  • In terms of efficiency, he has put up 8.96 yards per target this season, ranking in the #68 percentile.
  • Pittsburgh has played in the #5-most high-wind games (15 mph+) this year, which saps receiver efficiency and should lead to improved performance in better conditions.
  • Minnesota's defense has allowed 193 yards per game to wide receivers this year (#2-most in football).
  • Opposing wideouts have put up the #4-most yards per target (9.33) against the Vikings this season.
  • Minnesota Vikings cornerbacks rank as the #32 unit in pass coverage.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have had the #9-fastest paced offense in a neutral context this season.
  • Pittsburgh is a 3.5 point underdog, indicating a passing game script.
  • This offenses projects to pass 65.4% of the time in this contest (#5 in the NFL) based on underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Claypool's offensive line has been #6 best in pass protection this year, which has a real impact on their ability to complete clean passes to their wide receivers.
  • The Steelers offensive line has given the QB 2.39 seconds before getting pressured to find open receivers (#5-most time in the league).
  • Teams that stack the box with extra defenders to stop the run leave themselves exposed to the pass, and Pittsburgh has faced the #10-most stacked boxes in the league this year (16.1%).

  • CONS:
  • Claypool has been in the #15 percentile when it comes to catching balls thrown his way this year with a 55.3% completion rate.
  • Play action passes confuse the defense and lead to a higher completion rate. The Pittsburgh Steelers have run play-action on 19.6% of their passes this year, #30-most in the NFL.

  • Perhaps as a result of a change in role, personnel injury, or matchup, Claypool is projected for -1.1% more of his team's target share this week than he has gotten overall this year, which ranks in the #44 percentile among wide receivers.
  • The Vikings have allowed opposing wideouts to complete 65.9% of their targets this season, (#20-most in the league).
  • Minnesota Vikings safeties rank as the #13 unit in pass coverage.
  • The Steelers project to run 62.7 plays in this contest, the #16-most of the week.
  • This offense passes the ball 62.3% of the time in a neutral context (#12 in the NFL).

    THE BLITZ sees him putting up 60.3 Receiving Yards for this matchup on average, while projecting him to exceed his player prop total 57.8% of the time.

    The BLITZ believes there is positive value on the OVER with an expected value of $9.29. It's return on investment would yeild 8%.

    Create optimizable, relevant sports betting content at scale by automating your content generation process with WriteNow™. Designed and built by betting experts, WriteNow™ uses up-to-the-minute market data to develop stories that provide real-time betting insights and tell the story behind the numbers. WriteNow™ solves all your written content needs without the expense of an editorial team. The future of sports betting content is WriteNow™.
    © 2021 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™