| |
Cam Akers Rushing Yards Player Prop - Week 20 - NFC Divisional Round Game
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Los Angeles Rams
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Right now, Cam Akers Rushing Yards Prop is Over/Under 48.5 (-110/-110).
The money is on the Under: it opened 56.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 48.5 @ -110.
|
|
|
|
|
|
PROS:
|
|
The offensive line is crucial to open up holes, and Los Angeles's ranks #1 in that regard this season.This week, THE BLITZ projects Akers for a 39.2% higher carry share than he has garnered this season (perhaps due to team injuries, a change in role, or matchup dynamics), one of the most notable differences of the week.This year, the Rams have played in 10 games with wind of 2 mph or less. That ranks #5-most in football and could mean they'll run a bit more going forward, since teams generally lean into the pass game in low wind.The Los Angeles Rams are projected to run 67.0 plays in this matchup, the #1-most on the game slate.THE BLITZ projects this offense as the #6-most run-heavy of the week (based on team tendencies and matchup factors), expecting them to run on 34.3% of their plays.The defensive ends of Tampa Bay have been the #23-most effective unit among all teams in 2021.
|
|
|
|
|
|
CONS:
|
|
The Rams enter as a 3.0 point underdog. This indicates a passing game script.Los Angeles has been the #27-most run-heavy offense in the NFL this year with a 34.8% run rate in a neutral context.The Buccaneers defense has allowed 90 rushing yards per game to opponents this year, #3-least in football.The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have allowed 4.23 yards per attempt on the ground this year, putting them #9-best in the metric this season.The defensive tackles of Tampa Bay have been the #4-most effective unit among all teams in 2021.The safeties of Tampa Bay have been the #3-most effective unit among all teams in 2021.
|
|
|
|
|
|
NEUTRAL:
|
|
In a neutral context, Los Angeles has run the #14-fastest paced offense this season.The linebackers of Tampa Bay have been the #21-most effective unit among all teams in 2021.
|
|
|
|
|
|
PROJECTION:
|
|
THE BLITZ projects Akers to exceed his player prop total 56.8% of the time. He projects for 56.4 Rushing Yards (on average) in this matchup.
According to THE BLITZ, there is positive value on the OVER, with an expected value of $9.30. That makes its return on investment yield +8%.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
ABOUT WRITENOW™
Create optimizable, relevant sports betting content at scale by automating your content generation process with WriteNow™. Designed and built by betting experts, WriteNow™ uses up-to-the-minute market data to develop stories that provide real-time betting insights and tell the story behind the numbers. WriteNow™ solves all your written content needs without the expense of an editorial team. The future of sports betting content is WriteNow™.
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
| |
|
© 2021 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™
|
| |
|
|
|
