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Brandin Cooks Receiving Yards Player Prop - Week 14
Houston Texans vs Seattle Seahawks
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Brandin Cooks Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 57.5 (-115/-115).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 59.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 57.5 @ -115.
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PROS:
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Cooks has been on the field for 80.8% of his team's snaps this season, which ranks in the #82 percentile among wide receivers.He has run a route on 94.1% of Houston's dropbacks this season, which puts him in the #96 percentile among wide receivers.His target share this season has been 27.6% -- #96 percentile when it comes to wide receivers.Cooks has been in the #67 percentile when it comes to catching balls thrown his way this year with a 68.4% completion rate.This game will be played in a dome, meaning zero wind and a higher chance to complete passes.Seattle Seahawks safeties rank as the #29 unit in pass coverage.The Houston Texans have had the #6-fastest paced offense in a neutral context this season.Houston is a 9.0 point underdog, indicating an extreme passing game script.This offenses projects to pass 62.7% of the time in this contest (#7 in the NFL) based on underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.The Texans offensive line has given the QB 2.26 seconds before getting pressured to find open receivers (#1-most time in the league).Teams that stack the box with extra defenders to stop the run leave themselves exposed to the pass, and Houston has faced the #11-most stacked boxes in the league this year (15.7%).
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CONS:
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This offense passes the ball 57.8% of the time in a neutral context (#28 in the NFL).Cooks's offensive line has been #27 best in pass protection this year, which has a real impact on their ability to complete clean passes to their wide receivers.
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NEUTRAL:
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Perhaps as a result of a change in role, personnel injury, or matchup, Cooks is projected for -2.3% more of his team's target share this week than he has gotten overall this year, which ranks in the #35 percentile among wide receivers.In terms of efficiency, he has put up 7.81 yards per target this season, ranking in the #42 percentile.Seattle's defense has allowed 148 yards per game to wide receivers this year (#22-most in football).Opposing wideouts have put up the #22-most yards per target (7.92) against the Seahawks this season.The Seahawks have allowed opposing wideouts to complete 66.8% of their targets this season, (#17-most in the league).Seattle Seahawks cornerbacks rank as the #20 unit in pass coverage.The Texans project to run 62.8 plays in this contest, the #18-most of the week.Play action passes confuse the defense and lead to a higher completion rate. The Houston Texans have run play-action on 24.6% of their passes this year, #20-most in the NFL.
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PROJECTION:
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THE BLITZ sees him putting up 68.8 Receiving Yards for this matchup on average, while projecting him to exceed his player prop total 58.4% of the time.
The BLITZ believes there is positive value on the OVER with an expected value of $10.47. It's return on investment would yeild 9%.
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© 2021 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™
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