|
Brandin Cooks Receiving Yards Player Prop - Week 13
Houston Texans vs Indianapolis Colts
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Brandin Cooks Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 58.5 (-115/-115).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 56.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 58.5 @ -115.
|
|
|
|
PROS:
|
Cooks has been on the field for 80.7% of his team's snaps this season, which ranks in the #81 percentile among wide receivers.He has run a route on 94.6% of Houston's dropbacks this season, which puts him in the #96 percentile among wide receivers.His target share this season has been 28.1% -- #97 percentile when it comes to wide receivers.Cooks has been in the #72 percentile when it comes to catching balls thrown his way this year with a 69.8% completion rate.This game will be played in a dome, meaning zero wind and a higher chance to complete passes.Indianapolis Colts safeties rank as the #27 unit in pass coverage.Houston is a 10.0 point underdog, indicating an extreme passing game script.This offenses projects to pass 63.5% of the time in this contest (#7 in the NFL) based on underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.The Texans offensive line has given the QB 2.26 seconds before getting pressured to find open receivers (#1-most time in the league).Teams that stack the box with extra defenders to stop the run leave themselves exposed to the pass, and Houston has faced the #11-most stacked boxes in the league this year (15.7%).
|
|
|
|
CONS:
|
Indianapolis's defense has allowed 143 yards per game to wide receivers this year (#25-most in football).Opposing wideouts have put up the #24-most yards per target (7.82) against the Colts this season.This offense passes the ball 58.0% of the time in a neutral context (#26 in the NFL).Cooks's offensive line has been #30 best in pass protection this year, which has a real impact on their ability to complete clean passes to their wide receivers.
|
|
|
|
NEUTRAL:
|
Perhaps as a result of a change in role, personnel injury, or matchup, Cooks is projected for -1.1% more of his team's target share this week than he has gotten overall this year, which ranks in the #45 percentile among wide receivers.In terms of efficiency, he has put up 7.93 yards per target this season, ranking in the #41 percentile.The Colts have allowed opposing wideouts to complete 65.3% of their targets this season, (#21-most in the league).Indianapolis Colts cornerbacks rank as the #17 unit in pass coverage.The Houston Texans have had the #13-fastest paced offense in a neutral context this season.The Texans project to run 62.5 plays in this contest, the #18-most of the week.Play action passes confuse the defense and lead to a higher completion rate. The Houston Texans have run play-action on 24.6% of their passes this year, #20-most in the NFL.
|
|
|
|
PROJECTION:
|
THE BLITZ sees him putting up 75.6 Receiving Yards for this matchup on average, while projecting him to exceed his player prop total 62.1% of the time.
The BLITZ believes there is positive value on the OVER with an expected value of $18.52. It's return on investment would yeild 16%.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
ABOUT WRITENOW™
Create optimizable, relevant sports betting content at scale by automating your content generation process with WriteNow™. Designed and built by betting experts, WriteNow™ uses up-to-the-minute market data to develop stories that provide real-time betting insights and tell the story behind the numbers. WriteNow™ solves all your written content needs without the expense of an editorial team. The future of sports betting content is WriteNow™.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
© 2021 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™
|
|
|
|
|