| |
Ben Roethlisberger Passing Yards Player Prop - Week 19 - AFC Wild Card Game
Kansas City Chiefs vs Pittsburgh Steelers
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Right now, Ben Roethlisberger Passing Yards Prop is Over/Under 232.5 (-110/-110).
The money is on the Over: it opened 226.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 232.5 @ -110.
|
|
|
|
|
|
PROS:
|
|
This year, at #13-best in the league, Roethlisberger has passed for243 yards per game.This year, the Steelers have played in the #4-most games with 15 mph+ winds. High wind saps quarterback efficiency and should mean better performance in better conditions.In a neutral context, Pittsburgh has run the #6-fastest paced offense this season.The Pittsburgh Steelers are projected to run 64.3 plays in this matchup, the #8-most on the game slate.The Steelers are a 11.5 point underdog. This indicates an extreme passing game script.THE BLITZ projects Pittsburgh to drop back to pass on 66.3% of their plays in this game (#2-highest rate of the week) based on their tendencies and matchup-specific factors.Pittsburgh's O-Line grades out as the #8-best in the NFL in protecting the passer this season.Kansas City's #30-ranked pass defense has allowed 260 passing yards per game this year.Kansas City has allowed opposing quarterbacks to complete 72.7% of their targets, which ranks them #26-best in the NFL.In terms of passing efficiency, Kansas City's defense is #25-best. This is because they allowed 8.11 yards per target to opposing signal-callers.The Kansas City Chiefs have had the #24-best group of linebackers this season when it comes to pass coverage.When it comes to putting pressure on the quarterback, Kansas City's defensive tackles rank #29 this season.
|
|
|
|
|
|
CONS:
|
|
In terms of efficiency, Roethlisberger has been #32 in the NFL this season. He averages 6.44 yards per target.The Kansas City Chiefs have had the #7-best group of cornerbacks this season when it comes to pass coverage.
|
|
|
|
|
|
NEUTRAL:
|
|
In terms of Completion%, he has been the #17-best in the league, completing passes at a 65.9% clip.In a neutral context, this offense passes the ball 61.8% of the time (#12 in the NFL).The Kansas City Chiefs have had the #11-best group of safeties this season when it comes to pass coverage.When it comes to putting pressure on the quarterback, Kansas City's defensive ends rank #12 this season.When it comes to putting pressure on the quarterback, Kansas City's linebackers rank #16 this season.
|
|
|
|
|
|
PROJECTION:
|
|
THE BLITZ projects Roethlisberger to exceed his player prop total 58.2% of the time. He projects for 254.9 Passing Yards (on average) in this matchup.
According to THE BLITZ, there is positive value on the OVER, with an expected value of $12.28. That makes its return on investment yield +11%.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
ABOUT WRITENOW™
Create optimizable, relevant sports betting content at scale by automating your content generation process with WriteNow™. Designed and built by betting experts, WriteNow™ uses up-to-the-minute market data to develop stories that provide real-time betting insights and tell the story behind the numbers. WriteNow™ solves all your written content needs without the expense of an editorial team. The future of sports betting content is WriteNow™.
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
| |
|
© 2021 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™
|
| |
|
|
|
