| |
Ben Roethlisberger Passing Yards Player Prop - Week 15
Pittsburgh Steelers vs Tennessee Titans
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ben Roethlisberger Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 255.5 (-115/-115).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 264.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 255.5 @ -115.
|
|
|
|
|
|
PROS:
|
|
Roethlisberger has passed for 259 yards per game this year, #11-best in the league.Pittsburgh has played in the #5-most high-wind games (15 mph+) this year, which artificially saps a quarterback's efficiency and should lead to improved performance in better conditions.The Pittsburgh Steelers have had the #8-fastest paced offense in a neutral context this season.Ben Roethlisberger's offensive line has been #9 best in pass protection this year, which has a real impact on their ability to complete clean passes to their wide receivers.The Steelers offensive line has given Ben Roethlisberger 2.39 seconds before getting pressured to find open receivers.Teams that stack the box with extra defenders to stop the run leave themselves exposed to the pass, and Pittsburgh have faced the #10-most stacked boxes in the league this year (16.1%).The Tennessee Titans enter this game with the #30-best pass defense this season, allowing 276 yards per game through the air.Titans defensive tackles have ranked #28 this season when it comes to rushing the passer.Titans linebackers have ranked #25 this season when it comes to rushing the passer.
|
|
|
|
|
|
CONS:
|
|
Play action passes confuse the defense and lead to a higher completion rate. The Pittsburgh Steelers have run play-action on 19.6% of their passes this year, #30-most in the NFL.The Tennessee Titans have had the #3-best group of safeties this season in terms of their pass coverage.The Tennessee Titans have had the #10-best group of linebackers this season in terms of their pass coverage.Titans defensive ends have ranked #8 this season when it comes to rushing the passer.The Tennessee Titans have stacked the box on 9.9% of their plays this season, #25-most in the NFL. A stacked box makes quarterbacks more efficient, while a light box makes it more difficult for them to complete passes.
|
|
|
|
|
|
NEUTRAL:
|
|
He's been the #18-best in terms of Completion%, completing passes at a 65.9% clip.Efficiency-wise, Roethlisberger has been #25 in the NFL this season, averaging 6.82 yards per target.The Steelers project to run 62.5 plays in this contest, the #19-most of the week.This offense passes the ball 61.9% of the time in a neutral context (#13 in the NFL).This offenses projects to pass 61.5% of the time in this contest (#11 in the NFL) based on underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.The Titans have allowed opposing quarterbacks to complete 70.3% of their targets, ranking #14 in the NFL.Tennessee's defense has been #21-best in terms of passing efficiency, allowing 7.92 yards per target to opposing signal-callers.The Tennessee Titans have had the #15-best group of cornerbacks this season in terms of their pass coverage.
|
|
|
|
|
|
PROJECTION:
|
|
THE BLITZ sees him putting up 234.9 Passing Yards for this matchup on average, while projecting him to exceed his player prop total 42.4% of the time.
THE BLITZ believes there is positive value on the UNDER with an expected value of $8.78. It's return on investment would yeild 8%.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
ABOUT WRITENOW™
Create optimizable, relevant sports betting content at scale by automating your content generation process with WriteNow™. Designed and built by betting experts, WriteNow™ uses up-to-the-minute market data to develop stories that provide real-time betting insights and tell the story behind the numbers. WriteNow™ solves all your written content needs without the expense of an editorial team. The future of sports betting content is WriteNow™.
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
| |
|
© 2021 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™
|
| |
|
|
|
