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Ben Roethlisberger

Ben Roethlisberger Passing Yards Player Prop - Week 12

Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers
Ben Roethlisberger Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 253.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 261.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 253.5 @ -115.
  • Roethlisberger has passed for 256 yards per game this year, #12-best in the league.
  • Pittsburgh has played in the #3-most high-wind games (15 mph+) this year, which artificially saps a quarterback's efficiency and should lead to improved performance in better conditions.
  • Pittsburgh is a 3.5-point underdog, indicating a passing game script.
  • This offenses projects to pass 62.0% of the time in this contest (#9 in the NFL) based on matchup dynamics.
  • Ben Roethlisberger's offensive line has been #6 best in pass protection this year, which has a real impact on their ability to complete clean passes to their wide receivers.
  • The Steelers offensive line has given Ben Roethlisberger 2.38 seconds before getting pressured to find open receivers.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals enter this game with the #24-best pass defense this season, allowing 268 yards per game through the air.
  • The Bengals have allowed opposing quarterbacks to complete 72.7% of their targets, ranking #24 in the NFL.
  • Bengals linebackers have ranked #31 this season when it comes to rushing the passer.
  • Cincinnati's defensive front has pressured opposing quarterbacks 3 seconds after the snap, on average, ranking #30-quickest in the NFL.

  • CONS:
  • Efficiency-wise, Roethlisberger has been #26 in the NFL this season, averaging 6.72 yards per target.
  • The Steelers project to run 61.5 plays in this contest, the #26-most of the week.
  • Play action passes confuse the defense and lead to a higher completion rate. The Pittsburgh Steelers have run play-action on 19.4% of their passes this year, #31-most in the NFL.

  • He's been the #19-best in terms of Completion%, completing passes at a 65.9% clip.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have had the #15-fastest paced offense in a neutral context this season.
  • This offense passes the ball 62.1% of the time in a neutral context (#13 in the NFL).
  • Teams that stack the box with extra defenders to stop the run leave themselves exposed to the pass, and Pittsburgh have faced the #13-most stacked boxes in the league this year (#15.4%).
  • Cincinnati's defense has been #15-best in terms of passing efficiency, allowing 7.80 yards per target to opposing signal-callers.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have had the #15-best group of cornerbacks this season in terms of their pass coverage.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have had the #14-best group of safeties this season in terms of their pass coverage.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have had the #21-best group of linebackers this season in terms of their pass coverage.
  • Bengals defensive ends have ranked #19 this season when it comes to rushing the passer.
  • Bengals defensive tackles have ranked #15 this season when it comes to rushing the passer.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have stacked the box on 16.0% of their plays this season, #12-most in the NFL. A stacked box makes quarterbacks more efficient, while a light box makes it more difficult for them to complete passes.

    THE BLITZ sees him putting up 238.6 Passing Yards for this matchup on average, while projecting him to exceed his player prop total 44.5% of the time.

    The BLITZ believes there is positive value on the UNDER with an expected value of $4.24. It's return on investment would yeild 4%.

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