My Account Log Out
 
Ben Roethlisberger

Ben Roethlisberger Passing Yards Player Prop - Week 12

Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers
 
 
 
Ben Roethlisberger Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 253.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 261.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 253.5 @ -115.
PROS:
  • Roethlisberger has passed for 256 yards per game this year, #12-best in the league.
  • Pittsburgh has played in the #3-most high-wind games (15 mph+) this year, which artificially saps a quarterback's efficiency and should lead to improved performance in better conditions.
  • Pittsburgh is a 3.5-point underdog, indicating a passing game script.
  • This offenses projects to pass 62.0% of the time in this contest (#9 in the NFL) based on matchup dynamics.
  • Ben Roethlisberger's offensive line has been #6 best in pass protection this year, which has a real impact on their ability to complete clean passes to their wide receivers.
  • The Steelers offensive line has given Ben Roethlisberger 2.38 seconds before getting pressured to find open receivers.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals enter this game with the #24-best pass defense this season, allowing 268 yards per game through the air.
  • The Bengals have allowed opposing quarterbacks to complete 72.7% of their targets, ranking #24 in the NFL.
  • Bengals linebackers have ranked #31 this season when it comes to rushing the passer.
  • Cincinnati's defensive front has pressured opposing quarterbacks 3 seconds after the snap, on average, ranking #30-quickest in the NFL.

  • CONS:
  • Efficiency-wise, Roethlisberger has been #26 in the NFL this season, averaging 6.72 yards per target.
  • The Steelers project to run 61.5 plays in this contest, the #26-most of the week.
  • Play action passes confuse the defense and lead to a higher completion rate. The Pittsburgh Steelers have run play-action on 19.4% of their passes this year, #31-most in the NFL.

  • NEUTRAL:
  • He's been the #19-best in terms of Completion%, completing passes at a 65.9% clip.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have had the #15-fastest paced offense in a neutral context this season.
  • This offense passes the ball 62.1% of the time in a neutral context (#13 in the NFL).
  • Teams that stack the box with extra defenders to stop the run leave themselves exposed to the pass, and Pittsburgh have faced the #13-most stacked boxes in the league this year (#15.4%).
  • Cincinnati's defense has been #15-best in terms of passing efficiency, allowing 7.80 yards per target to opposing signal-callers.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have had the #15-best group of cornerbacks this season in terms of their pass coverage.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have had the #14-best group of safeties this season in terms of their pass coverage.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have had the #21-best group of linebackers this season in terms of their pass coverage.
  • Bengals defensive ends have ranked #19 this season when it comes to rushing the passer.
  • Bengals defensive tackles have ranked #15 this season when it comes to rushing the passer.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have stacked the box on 16.0% of their plays this season, #12-most in the NFL. A stacked box makes quarterbacks more efficient, while a light box makes it more difficult for them to complete passes.

  • PROJECTION:
    THE BLITZ sees him putting up 238.6 Passing Yards for this matchup on average, while projecting him to exceed his player prop total 44.5% of the time.

    The BLITZ believes there is positive value on the UNDER with an expected value of $4.24. It's return on investment would yeild 4%.
     
     
     
    ABOUT WRITENOW™

    Create optimizable, relevant sports betting content at scale by automating your content generation process with WriteNow™. Designed and built by betting experts, WriteNow™ uses up-to-the-minute market data to develop stories that provide real-time betting insights and tell the story behind the numbers. WriteNow™ solves all your written content needs without the expense of an editorial team. The future of sports betting content is WriteNow™.
     
     
    © 2021 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™