| |
Baker Mayfield Passing Yards Player Prop - Week 12
Baltimore Ravens vs Cleveland Browns
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Baker Mayfield Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 209.5 (-115/-115).
|
|
|
|
|
|
PROS:
|
|
Efficiency-wise, Mayfield has been #10 in the NFL this season, averaging 7.71 yards per target.Cleveland has played in the #1-most high-wind games (15 mph+) this year, which artificially saps a quarterback's efficiency and should lead to improved performance in better conditions.Cleveland is a 3.5-point underdog, indicating a passing game script.Baker Mayfield's offensive line has been #9 best in pass protection this year, which has a real impact on their ability to complete clean passes to their wide receivers.Teams that stack the box with extra defenders to stop the run leave themselves exposed to the pass, and Cleveland have faced the #6-most stacked boxes in the league this year (#19.4%).The Baltimore Ravens enter this game with the #29-best pass defense this season, allowing 285 yards per game through the air.Baltimore's defense has been #30-best in terms of passing efficiency, allowing 8.62 yards per target to opposing signal-callers.The Baltimore Ravens have had the #27-best group of safeties this season in terms of their pass coverage.The Baltimore Ravens have had the #28-best group of linebackers this season in terms of their pass coverage.The Baltimore Ravens have stacked the box on 19.6% of their plays this season, #5-most in the NFL. A stacked box makes quarterbacks more efficient, while a light box makes it more difficult for them to complete passes.
|
|
|
|
|
|
CONS:
|
|
Mayfield has passed for 212 yards per game this year, #25-best in the league.The Cleveland Browns have had the #30-fastest paced offense in a neutral context this season.The Browns project to run 58.1 plays in this contest, the #30-most of the week.This offense passes the ball 57.8% of the time in a neutral context (#29 in the NFL).This offenses projects to pass 56.1% of the time in this contest (#26 in the NFL) based on matchup dynamics.The Ravens have allowed opposing quarterbacks to complete 64.6% of their targets, ranking #2 in the NFL.Ravens defensive ends have ranked #9 this season when it comes to rushing the passer.Ravens linebackers have ranked #4 this season when it comes to rushing the passer.Baltimore's defensive front has pressured opposing quarterbacks 2 seconds after the snap, on average, ranking #6-quickest in the NFL.
|
|
|
|
|
|
NEUTRAL:
|
|
He's been the #22-best in terms of Completion%, completing passes at a 65.4% clip.Play action passes confuse the defense and lead to a higher completion rate. The Cleveland Browns have run play-action on 25.4% of their passes this year, #17-most in the NFL.The Baltimore Ravens have had the #16-best group of cornerbacks this season in terms of their pass coverage.Ravens defensive tackles have ranked #17 this season when it comes to rushing the passer.
|
|
|
|
|
|
PROJECTION:
|
|
THE BLITZ sees him putting up 220.0 Passing Yards for this matchup on average, while projecting him to exceed his player prop total 54.0% of the time.
The BLITZ believes there is positive value on the OVER with an expected value of $1.12. It's return on investment would yeild 1%.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
ABOUT WRITENOW™
Create optimizable, relevant sports betting content at scale by automating your content generation process with WriteNow™. Designed and built by betting experts, WriteNow™ uses up-to-the-minute market data to develop stories that provide real-time betting insights and tell the story behind the numbers. WriteNow™ solves all your written content needs without the expense of an editorial team. The future of sports betting content is WriteNow™.
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
| |
|
© 2021 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™
|
| |
|
|
|
