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Antonio Gibson

Antonio Gibson Rushing Yards Player Prop - Week 13

Las Vegas Raiders vs Washington Football Team
Antonio Gibson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 67.5 (-115/-115).
  • The Washington Football Team offensive line has ranked #5 in the NFL when it comes to run blocking this season.
  • He has been on the field for 53.8% of his team's snaps this season, which ranks in the #78 percentile among running backs.
  • He has received 58.4% of Washington's carries this year -- #14 percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • The WFT project to run 63.8 total plays in this contest, the #8-most of the week.
  • This offense runs the ball 40.5% of the time in a neutral context (#9 in the NFL), and they project to run 40.5% of the time in this contest.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have ranked #24 against the run this year, holding opponents to 126 yards per game on the ground.
  • Raiders defensive tackles have ranked #26 in the NFL in run stopping effectiveness this season.
  • Raiders safeties have ranked #26 in the NFL in run stopping effectiveness this season.
  • Stacking the box with extra defenders is a common strategy defenses uses to stop the run, and the Washington Football Team have faced a stacked box 5.3% of the time this season -- #32-most in football.

  • CONS:
  • Gibson has been the #8-leading rusher this season, tallying 65 yards per game on the ground.
  • Washington has played in the #3-most high-wind games (15 mph+) this year. Teams tend to run the ball more in windy conditions, artificially inflating their play-calling Run%, which should balance back out under normal conditions.
  • The Washington Football Team have had the #23-fastest paced offense in a neutral context this season.
  • Raiders linebackers have ranked #7 in the NFL in run stopping effectiveness this season.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have stacked the box with 8 or more defenders 22.2% of the time this season, ranking as the #1 most in the league.

  • Perhaps as a result of a change in role, personnel injury, or matchup, Gibson is projected for 6.1% more of his team's carry share this week than he has gotten overall this year, which ranks among the biggest increases among running backs this week.
  • This offenses projects to runs 40.0% of the time in this contest (#14 in the NFL) based on underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • In terms of efficiency, Las Vegas's defense has allowed 4.51 yards per carry to opposing rushers (#17-least in football).
  • Raiders defensive ends have ranked #21 in the NFL in run stopping effectiveness this season.

    THE BLITZ sees him putting up 73.7 Rushing Yards for this matchup on average, while projecting him to exceed his player prop total 54.4% of the time.

    The BLITZ believes there is positive value on the OVER with an expected value of $1.90. It's return on investment would yeild 2%.

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