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Washington Football Team (5-6) at Las Vegas Raiders (6-5)
Week 13's contest between the Washington Football Team and the Las Vegas Raiders matches strength with weakness. The Las Vegas Raiders pass offense has been one of the best units in the NFL, ranking #5 while averaging 283 yards per game. The WFT defense, meanwhile, has allowed 278 passing yards per game, #5-worst in the league. This should give Las Vegas a decided advantage, and they'll likely look to air it out this week.
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Where Las Vegas could perhaps capitalize the most is with their running backs. Las Vegas running backs have averaged 58 yards per game this season, #2-best in the NFL. They've caught 79.2% of the passes thrown in their direction (#15-best). They've averaged 6.36 yards per target (#14-best).
The WFT defense, meanwhile, has been very weak against running backs. Their linebackers and safeties have allowed 37 yards per game this season, #19-worst in the NFL. They've allowed opposing running backs to complete 78.8% of their targets (#23-worst). Opposing running backs have averaged 5.69 yards per target (#26-worst). If the WFT are to win this game, they'll have to find a way to stop—or at least slow down—Las Vegas's pass game, in particular their running backs. That won't be an easy task given how their defensive squad has performed thus far.
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The WFT have won 3 consecutive games, while the Raiders have won 1 in a row. The WFT will enter this game on short rest (6 days), while the Raiders will have had additional days rest (10 days). The big difference in time off will certainly favor the Raiders, and this could enhance their home field advantage this week. The visiting WFT will have to travel cross-country for this game. They will travel over ~2094 miles and across 3 time zones to get to Las Vegas. Historically, cross-country road trips have an adverse effect on the visiting team, so it's possible the WFT and may have to battle jet lag or a disruption to their normal weekly routine. The long travel should help Las Vegas's home field advantage. This will be a back-to-back road game for the WFT. The extra travel won't help the WFT, and this could slightly upgrade the Raiders home field advantage.
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The betting handle for this Game Total is notable, because there is two sided action. The majority of the Bets have been on the Over, however there is more Cash on the Under. The Over has approximately 66% of the Bets, however the Under has 61% of the Cash. This means there has likely been relatively big wagers on the Under.
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PROJECTION:
Las Vegas Raiders - 26.44
Washington Football Team - 23.00
Win Probability:
LV 63% / WAS 37%
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© 2021 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™
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