San Francisco 49ers @ Seattle Seahawks - Week 13

San Francisco 49ers (6-5) at Seattle Seahawks (3-8)

Seattle's primary disadvantage has been their defense, which has allowed a monstrous 412 yards per game this year, sliding them into the #2 spot among the league's worst. They've struggled in large part because they've been unable to keep opposing offenses from moving the chains via their pass attack. Opposing QBs have thrown for the #1-most yards per game (288) against the Seahawks. Opposing running backs have given the Seahawks the most trouble, posting 70 yards per game against this defense (#1-worst in football). Seattle's coverage problems have been exacerbated by their safeties, who rank just #25 in the league in locking down opposing pass-catchers. Seattle's defensive ends are perhaps most responsible for their paltry pass rush this year, given that they grade out as the #3-worst unit in the NFL.

When it comes to their offense, the Seahawks check in at #31 in football when it comes to total yards per game. Their passing game has compiled 211 yards per game (#25 in football). Their run game has ranked #23 with 4.20 yards per attempt on the ground. They hit their peak effectiveness when targeting tight ends, who have completed 83.9% of those targets this year (#1-best in the league).

San Francisco's biggest strength has been their defense, ranking #6 in the league while allowing just 339 yards per game. Much of their success has been in locking down the pass game, holding opposing QBs to the #6-least yards per game: 229. The 49ers have done the best job shutting down opposing tight ends, holding them to 37 yards per game (#3-best). San Francisco's best position group in coverage has been their linebackers, which rank #3 in the league in locking down route-runners. San Francisco's pass rush has been strong this year, led by their defensive ends, which check in as the #6-best unit in terms of getting to the passer.

In terms of their offense, the 49ers have ranked #16 in the league in total yards per game. They've passed for 229 yards per game (#22 in football). On the ground they've ranked #13 with 4.62 yards per carry. They've been most efficient throwing to wide receivers, who have racked up 9.57 yards per target (ranking #3).

The 49ers have won 3 consecutive games, while the Seahawks have lost 3 in a row. The Seahawks played last Monday and thus will be on 6 days rest, which is shorter then normal. A short week between games does not help a team, so this may slightly downgrade their home field advantage this week. These two teams are divisional competitors. This rivalry should add extra significance to the game, and both teams are likely to be ultra motivated. The last time these two teams played each other was Week 4 in 2021. That game resulted in a home win for the Seahawks with a final score of 37-27. This will be the 3rd consecutive road game for the 49ers. The extra travel won't help the 49ers, and this could slightly upgrade the Seahawks home field advantage.

The Game Total has moved a small amount since it opened. It opened 46.0 before it was bet down to 44.5. The majority of the bets are on the Under with 51% of the bets and 51% of the cash. Compared to all the other game action this week, the Under has the highest percentage of bets this week.

PROJECTION:
San Francisco 49ers - 22.54
Seattle Seahawks - 20.35

Win Probability:
SF 55% / SEA 45%

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