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New York Giants @ Los Angeles Chargers - Week 14

New York Giants (4-8) at Los Angeles Chargers (7-5)

New York's biggest weakness has been their offense, checking in at #24 in the league with a mere 322 yards per game. A big part of their failure has been the quality (or lack thereof) of their rushing attack, which has been #7-worst in football with just 4.14 yards per carry. This has manifest itself in the #6-least rushing yards per game: 91. The key component of any team's ground game is their offensive line. The best running back can't do much if the line doesn't open up holes for them, and a worst running back can find success if he's given open space. It should come as no surprise then that New York's o-line ranks #8-worst in this regard. In failing to successfully establish the run, New York has also had trouble moving the ball through the air, averaging a paltry 6.38 yards per target, which ranks them #26 in football.
In terms of their defense, the Giants have ranked #25 in the league in total yards allowed per game. Opposing offenses have passed for 258 yards per game through the air against them (#19 in football). On the ground, opposing ball-carriers have ranked #21 with 4.56 yards per carry. New York has been most effective in shutting down opposing wide receivers, holding them to 7.57 yards per target (#6-best). New York has been least effective in shutting down opposing running backs, giving up a 91.3% completion rate (#2-highest).

Los Angeles's primary disadvantage has been their run defense, which has allowed a monstrous 4.87 yards per attempt on the ground this year, sliding them into the #2 spot among the league's worst. Chargers defensive ends are perhaps most responsible for their dismal run defense this year, given that they grade out as the #5-worst unit in the NFL. This presents a decided disadvantage for Los Angeles given that the Giants ground game has been so good this year, rushing for 4.14 yards per carry (#26-best in the league).

When it comes to their offense, the Chargers check in at #7 in football when it comes to total yards per game. Their passing game has compiled 283 yards per game (#4 in football). Their run game has ranked #6 with 4.92 yards per attempt on the ground. They hit their peak effectiveness when targeting running backs, who have accrued 49 yards per game (#7-best in the league).
The visiting Giants will have to travel cross-country for this game. They will travel over ~2449 miles and across 3 time zones to get to Los Angeles. Historically, cross-country road trips have an adverse effect on the visiting team, so it's possible the Giants and may have to battle jet lag or a disruption to their normal weekly routine. The long travel should help Los Angeles's home field advantage. This will be a back-to-back road game for the Giants. Meanwhile, this will be back-to-back home games for the Chargers. The big difference in travel time between these two teams would favor the Chargers and may enhance their home field advantage this week.
There has been some line movement on the Game Total toward the Under. It opened 46.5 before it was bet down to 43.5.
Los Angeles Chargers - 28.59
New York Giants - 17.27

Win Probability:
LAC 83% / NYG 17%

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