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Kansas City Chiefs @ Los Angeles Chargers - Week 15

Kansas City Chiefs (9-4) at Los Angeles Chargers (8-5)

In what could be a shootout, the Kansas City Chiefs faceoff against the Los Angeles Chargers. This game has the highest game total in the Week 15, and which is currently 54.
One reason for the high game total is because the game will be played in the SoFi Stadium dome. Domes typically inflate scoring. The lack of wind allows quarterbacks to be more accurate, and domes provide a faster playing surface.

This game projects as the #2rd-fastest paced game of the week, with an average of 130.7 seconds per play. A fast pace means both teams will be able to run more plays (130.7 total plays are projected here), march down the field quicker, and have more opportunities to score.

This game has some serious offensive firepower. The Chargers have averaged 390 offensive yards per game this season (#7 in the NFL). The Chiefs have averaged 408 offensive yards per game this year (#3 in the league).

Los Angeles's passing attack has been strong this year, ranking #6 in the NFL with 280 yards per game through the air. The passing offense of Kansas City has been great this season, putting up 297 yards per game through the air (#2 in the league).

The Kansas City Chiefs have run some form of misdirection (either a trick play, trick look, motion, or play action) on 78.4% of their plays this season, #2 in the NFL. Misdirection confuses the defense, puts players out of position, and leads to greater success for an offense.

The Los Angeles Chargers have gone for it on 26.2% of their fourth down situations this year, #5 in the NFL. The analytics show that going for it on fourth down, while risky, ultimately leads to more points.
The Chiefs have won 6 consecutive games, while the Chargers have won 2 in a row. This is a short week for both teams, and each will have to make due with fewer days to rest and prepare for the game. Coaches and players like routine, so the disruption of a short week may lead to a wider range of outcomes and less efficiency on both sides of the ball. These two teams are divisional challengers. This rivalry should add extra significance to the game, and both teams are likely to be ultra motivated. The last time these two teams played each other was Week 3 in 2021. That game resulted in a road win for the Chiefs with a final score of 23-20. This will be the 3rd consecutive home game for the Chargers. Not having to travel should bode well for the Chargers, and this could slightly upgrade their home field advantage.
This matchup has the #1 highest Game Total this week. Large Totals imply there will be a lot of scoring opportunities and also correlates to a lot of offensive yards. The Game Total has had huge line movement toward the Over. It opened 49.5 before it was bet up to 54.0.
Los Angeles Chargers - 27.37
Kansas City Chiefs - 26.66

Win Probability:
LAC 52% / KC 48%

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