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Dallas Cowboys (8-4) at Washington Football Team (6-6)
Week 14's contest between the Dallas Cowboys and the Washington Football Team matches strength with weakness. The Dallas Cowboys pass offense has been one of the best units in the NFL, ranking #3 while averaging 295 yards per game. The WFT defense, meanwhile, has allowed 274 passing yards per game, #6-worst in the league. This should give Dallas a decided advantage, and they'll likely look to air it out this week.
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Where Dallas could perhaps capitalize the most is with their running backs. Dallas running backs have averaged 40 yards per game this season, #18-best in the NFL. They've caught 84.7% of the passes thrown in their direction (#4-best). They've averaged 5.65 yards per target (#21-best).
The WFT defense, meanwhile, has been very weak against running backs. Their linebackers and safeties have allowed 36 yards per game this season, #21-worst in the NFL. They've allowed opposing running backs to complete 80.0% of their targets (#21-worst). Opposing running backs have averaged 5.39 yards per target (#28-worst). If the WFT are to win this game, they'll have to find a way to stop—or at least slow down—Dallas's pass game, in particular their running backs. That won't be an easy task given how their defensive squad has performed thus far.
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The WFT have won 4 consecutive games, while the Cowboys have won 1 in a row. The Cowboys will have had extra days rest (10 days) between games. The extra time should help the Cowboys get healthier and prepare for the game. This may slightly downgrade the WFT home field advantage this week. These two teams are divisional opponents. This rivalry should add extra significance to the game, and both teams are likely to be ultra motivated. It was quite the blowout the last time these two teams played. The WFT won by double digits at home, clobbering the Cowboys 25-3 in Week 12 of 2020. This will be the 3rd consecutive home game for the WFT. Not having to travel should bode well for the WFT, and this could slightly upgrade their home field advantage.
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The Game Total has moved a small amount since it opened. It opened 49.5 before it was bet down to 47.5. The majority of the bets are on the Over with 52% of the bets and 59% of the cash. Compared to all the other game action this week, the Under has the highest percentage of bets this week.
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PROJECTION:
Dallas Cowboys - 26.80
Washington Football Team - 20.32
Win Probability:
DAL 72% / WAS 28%
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© 2021 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™
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