My Account Log Out

Carolina Panthers @ Miami Dolphins - Week 12

 
 
 
@
 
CAR MIA
Carolina Panthers (5-6) at Miami Dolphins (4-7)

This week’s matchup between the Carolina Panthers and Miami Dolphins has all the makings of an ugly game. Both teams limp in with sub-par offenses, with the Panthers ranking #25 in the NFL in yards per game at 327 and the Dolphins checking in at #27 with 317 yards per game. As a result of these struggling offenses, the current Game Total on this game is 40.5.
 
The Panthers biggest weakness has definitely been their pass game. They've averaged 6.07 yards per target through the air, ranking just #30-best in the NFL. They've been hurt by a poor offensive line, which ranks #26 in the league in pass-blocking. They've also struggled on the ground, averaging just 4.31 yards per carry, #9-lowest in the league. In terms of play-calling, they don't always make sound analytical choices. They rank #23 in the NFL in going for it on 4th down. The math shows coaches ought to be more aggressive on fourth downs, but the Panthers don't appear to have gotten the memo.

The Dolphins biggest hurdle to success has been their run game. They've attempted a run on 33.4% of their plays this year, #5-least in the football. They've averaged a mere 3.55 yards per carry, ranking #30 in the NFL. A good run game needs a good offensive line, and that's one thing the Dolphins do not have. Their line ranks just #26 in the league in opening up holes for the running backs. Perhaps because they haven't been able to establish the run, they've also averaged just 6.19 yards per target through the air, #29 in the league. In terms of play-calling, they don't always make sound analytical choices. They rank #27 in the NFL in going for it on 4th down. The math shows coaches ought to be more aggressive on fourth downs, but the Dolphins don't appear to have gotten the memo.
 
Photo by Grant Halverson - Getty Images
 
 
The Dolphins have won 3 straight games, while the Panthers have lost 1 in a row. This will be the 3rd consecutive home game for the Dolphins. Not having to travel should bode well for the Dolphins, and this could slightly upgrade their home field advantage.
 
This matchup has the #1 lowest Game Total this week. Low Totals imply there will be a lack of scoring opportunities and also correlates to a lack of offensive yards. There has been some line movement on the Game Total toward the Under. It opened 43.5 before it was bet down to 40.5. The Over has approximately 65% of the bets, but only 42% of the cash.
 
PROJECTION:
Carolina Panthers - 21.80
Miami Dolphins - 20.98

Win Probability:
CAR 52% / MIA 48%
 
 
 
 
 
ABOUT WRITENOW™

Create optimizable, relevant sports betting content at scale by automating your content generation process with WriteNow™. Designed and built by betting experts, WriteNow™ uses up-to-the-minute market data to develop stories that provide real-time betting insights and tell the story behind the numbers. WriteNow™ solves all your written content needs without the expense of an editorial team. The future of sports betting content is WriteNow™.
 
 
© 2021 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™