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Zion Williamson

Zion Williamson Rebounds
Player Prop - 2/23/2024

New Orleans Pelicans vs Miami Heat

 
 
 
Zion Williamson Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-140/+114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Out of all players in the NBA, Zion Williamson places in the 76th percentile for playing time, registering a whopping 29.8 minutes per game when playing at home this year.
  • The Pelicans have played at the 5th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage.
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Over the last 5 games, opposing teams have grabbed 6.2 offensive boards per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Heat (shortening possessions that could otherwise lead to additional opportunities for offense).
  • Zion Williamson will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage tends to raise player production for all stats.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Zion Williamson has totaled a mere 5.4 rebounds per game this season, quite a bit less than his 7.0 rebounds per game last season.
  • Among all players in the NBA, Zion Williamson registers in the 78th percentile for personal fouls, registering a whopping 2.3 fouls per game this year.
  • The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games away from their home court, which should lead to fewer possessions for the New Orleans Pelicans.

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