Zion Williamson Points - Player Prop Bet 3/5/2026

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Zion Williamson

NBA · Player Props

Zion Williamson

F · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

Sacramento Kings vs New Orleans Pelicans · Mar 5, 2026

Updated Mar 6, 2026 4:58 AM UTC

Analysis

Zion Williamson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-111/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -144 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup against the Kings is a positive one for field goals; the opposition's starting PFs have put up the 6th-highest Field Goal% in the league this year (52.6%).
The Pelicans have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
Offensive rebounds save possession and produce further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the New Orleans Pelicans grade out 5th-best in in the NBA with 14.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 7th-lowest scoring offense in the league when playing on the road this year.
Over the last 20 games, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 2.4 free throws per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Sacramento Kings, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.

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