Zion Williamson Points - Player Prop Bet 1/7/2026

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Zion Williamson

NBA · Player Props

Zion Williamson

F · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs New Orleans Pelicans · Jan 7, 2026

Updated Jan 8, 2026 2:49 AM UTC

Analysis

Zion Williamson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing starting SFs have averaged 60.1% on three-pointers (highest in the league) against the Atlanta Hawks, marking this as a strong matchup.
The Pelicans have played at the 4th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 15 games.
The Hawks have played at the fastest tempo in the league over the last 20 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Pelicans.
The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

As it relates to scoring, the New Orleans Pelicans's unimpressive 109.8 points per game as the away team places 3rd-fewest in the league this year.
Over the last 20 games, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 2.0 free throws per game (fewest in the league) against the Atlanta Hawks, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.

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