Zion Williamson Points - Player Prop Bet 12/18/2025

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Zion Williamson

NBA · Player Props

Zion Williamson

F · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Houston Rockets · Dec 18, 2025

Updated Dec 19, 2025 12:43 AM UTC

Analysis

Zion Williamson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-121/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -123 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -121.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Zion Williamson has registered 25.3 points per game over the last 12 games when playing at home, 3.5 more than he's registered overall this season at home.
The 3rd-fastest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Pelicans.
The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
This year, opposing starting PFs have attempted 5.4 free throws per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) against the Houston Rockets, easily managing to get to the free-throw line.

Favors Under

When it comes to scoring, the New Orleans Pelicans's subpar 114.2 points per game comes in as the 8th-fewest in the league this year.
The matchup against the Houston Rockets is a challenging one for threes; the opposing team's starting PFs have shot for the lowest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (21.7%).
The Pelicans are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from facing the 2nd-most sluggish tempo team in the league this year (the Rockets).

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