Zion Williamson Points - Player Prop Bet 12/2/2025

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Zion Williamson

NBA · Player Props

Zion Williamson

F · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Dec 2, 2025

Updated Dec 2, 2025 9:29 PM UTC

Analysis

Zion Williamson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (+100/-121).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ -121.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 10th-fastest pace home team in the league over the last 7 games has been the Pelicans.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Pelicans.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the New Orleans Pelicans grade out 4th-best in in the league with 13.2 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.
The matchup vs. Minnesota may be a positive one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting PFs have attempted an enormous 6.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Timberwolves are on the road (6th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have registered 14.5 points per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves, identifying this as a tough matchup for offensive productivity.

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