Zion Williamson Points - Player Prop Bet 11/21/2025

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Zion Williamson

NBA · Player Props

Zion Williamson

F · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs New Orleans Pelicans · Nov 21, 2025

Updated Nov 22, 2025 1:33 AM UTC

Analysis

Zion Williamson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (+108/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -101 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ +108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 16.0 shot attempts per game (most in the NBA) against the Mavericks, labeling this as a favorable matchup.
The New Orleans Pelicans will likely see an increase in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Dallas Mavericks).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans grade out 4th-best in in the league with 13.7 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

Favors Under

As it relates to scoring, the New Orleans Pelicans's poor 108.9 points per game measures as the worst in the NBA this year.
The 4th-slowest pace-of-play visiting team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Pelicans.
This year when they are away from home, opposing starting PFs have attempted 2.5 foul shots per game (3rd-lowest in the league) vs. the Mavericks, making it tough to get to the free-throw line.

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