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Zion Williamson

Zion Williamson Points
Player Prop - 10/22/2025

Memphis Grizzlies vs New Orleans Pelicans

 
 
 
Zion Williamson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Among all players in the NBA, Zion Williamson places in the 99th percentile for field goals hit, tallying a whopping 9.6 per game since the start of last season.
  • The Grizzlies have played at the fastest pace in the NBA since the start of last season, which should increase possessions for the New Orleans Pelicans.
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Among all players in the league, Zion Williamson rates in the 99th percentile for drawing fouls, averaging a monstrous 8.0 foul shots per game since the start of last season.
  • This year, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 4.6 free throws per game (5th-most in the NBA) against the Grizzlies, finding it easy to get to the charity stripe.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Zion Williamson has made 22.2% of his attempts from downtown since the start of last season, ranking in the 10th percentile among all players in the league.
  • Zion Williamson has been called for 2.7 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (93rd percentile).
  • The Pelicans check in as the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA since the start of last season.
  • The matchup vs. Memphis is a challenging one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Memphis Grizzlies have the home court advantage, opposing starting PFs have averaged the 2nd-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (3.0).
  • Zion Williamson will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage usually lowers stat production across the board.

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