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Zion Williamson

Zion Williamson Points
Player Prop - 3/11/2025

New Orleans Pelicans vs LA Clippers

Zion Williamson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Zion Williamson has converted 50.0% of his three-point attempts over the last 10 games, 27.8% higher than he's made from beyond the arc overall this year.

Zion Williamson has played 28.4 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 75th percentile.

The 6th-speediest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Pelicans.

The Pelicans check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the home team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

This year, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 4.1 foul shots per game (9th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Clippers, finding it easy to get to the free-throw line.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Zion Williamson has tallied 2.7 personal fouls per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 93rd percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.

In terms of offense, the New Orleans Pelicans's unimpressive 112.2 points per game ranks 7th-fewest in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The matchup against the Clippers is a difficult one for three-point shots; the other team's starting PFs have posted the 2nd-lowest three rate in the league this year (27.2%).

The LA Clippers have played at the 2nd-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home stadium, which should decrease possessions for the Pelicans.

Compared to last year's 67.7% mark, Zion Williamson's foul-shot ability has regressed this year to 59.3%.

More Zion Williamson Player Props

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