Zion Williamson Points - Player Prop Bet 3/6/2025

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Zion Williamson

NBA · Player Props

Zion Williamson

F · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Houston Rockets · Mar 6, 2025

Updated Mar 7, 2025 12:54 AM UTC

Analysis

Zion Williamson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-132/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Zion Williamson has successfully made 11.4 buckets per game over the last 10 games, 1.6 higher than he's made in all games this year.
Zion Williamson has sunk 50.0% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 10 games, 27.8% more than he's made from three in all games this year.
The matchup against Houston is a favorable one for threes; when the Rockets are the visiting team, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged the 3rd-most shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the league this year (2.4).
The Pelicans have played at the 5th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 20 games.
The Rockets have played at the 10th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to raise plays for the Pelicans.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Zion Williamson lands in the 91st percentile for personal fouls, compiling a monstrous 2.6 fouls per game on his home court this year.
The Pelicans rank as the 10th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
Over the last 10 games when they have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 2.0 free throws per game (2nd-fewest in the league) against the Rockets, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.

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