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Zion Williamson

Zion Williamson Points
Player Prop - 2/21/2025

Dallas Mavericks vs New Orleans Pelicans

Zion Williamson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-119/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -119.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Zion Williamson has successfully made 10.7 field goals per game over the last 10 games, 1.4 higher than he's converted overall this season.

Zion Williamson has made 100.0% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games, 75.0% higher than he's converted in all games this season.

The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games.

The Pelicans check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Zion Williamson has attempted 8.6 foul shots per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 7.1 mark last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the league, Zion Williamson registers in the 97th percentile for personal fouls, registering a massive 3.0 fouls per game this year.

The Pelicans check in as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA while playing on the road this year.

The matchup vs. Dallas is a tough one for 3-point shots; when the Mavericks are at home, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged the least shots from downtown per game in the league this year (0.8).

The New Orleans Pelicans will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this game from facing the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Dallas Mavericks).

This year when they are the visiting team, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 2.5 foul shots per game (3rd-lowest in the NBA) against the Mavericks, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.

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