Zion Williamson Points - Player Prop Bet 2/12/2025

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Zion Williamson

NBA · Player Props

Zion Williamson

F · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Sacramento Kings · Feb 12, 2025

Updated Feb 13, 2025 3:59 AM UTC

Analysis

Zion Williamson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ -100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 2.3 threes per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) against the Sacramento Kings, marking this as a favorable matchup.
The 2nd-quickest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the New Orleans Pelicans.
The Kings have played at the 4th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Pelicans.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans grade out 2nd-best in in the league playing at home with 12.8 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.
This year, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 3.1 free throws per game (9th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Kings, finding it easy to draw fouls.

Favors Under

In comparison to last year's 30.0% mark, Zion Williamson's 3-point efficiency has regressed this year to 14.3%.
Zion Williamson has averaged 2.8 personal fouls per game while at home this year, putting him in the 95th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
As it relates to shooting, the New Orleans Pelicans's unimpressive 110.0 points per game settles in as the 8th-lowest in the league this year.
Zion Williamson has attempted and missed 3.0 foul shots per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 2.1 rate last season.

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