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Zion Williamson

Zion Williamson Points
Player Prop - 2/3/2025

Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans

Zion Williamson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Zion Williamson has sunk 11.2 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 more than he's made overall this season.

The Pelicans have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games.

The Nuggets have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should lead to increased possessions for the New Orleans Pelicans.

The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

In contrast to last year's 7.1 mark, Zion Williamson's number of free throw attempts has risen this year to 8.5 free throw attempts per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Relative to last year's 30.0% clip, Zion Williamson's 3-point efficiency has tailed off this year to 14.3%.

Among all players in the league, Zion Williamson ranks in the 97th percentile for personal fouls, compiling an enormous 2.9 fouls per game this year.

In terms of offense, the New Orleans Pelicans's subpar 105.2 points per game when playing away from home ranks 3rd-weakest in the league this year.

This year, opposing starting PFs have totaled 3.7 three attempts per game (4th-lowest in the league) against the Nuggets, identifying this as a difficult matchup.

This year, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 2.6 foul shots per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Denver Nuggets, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.

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