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Zion Williamson

Zion Williamson Points
Player Prop - 1/22/2025

New Orleans Pelicans vs Milwaukee Bucks

Zion Williamson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-122/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -128 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ -104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This year, opposing starting PFs have averaged 1.8 three-pointers per game (7th-highest in the league) against the Bucks, resulting in a positive matchup.

The 2nd-quickest pace team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Pelicans.

The Bucks have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which ought to boost possessions for the Pelicans.

The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Zion Williamson will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city tends to raise player performance in all facets of the game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Zion Williamson has sunk a mere 16.7% of his treys this season, significantly less than his 30.0 rate last season.

Among all players in the NBA, Zion Williamson measures in the 96th percentile for personal fouls, logging a monstrous 2.9 fouls per game this year.

The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 7th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.

Compared to last season's 67.7% rate, Zion Williamson's foul-shot ability has dropped this season to 58.3%.

The matchup vs. the Bucks may be a hard one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted just 2.6 free throws per game over the last 25 games (least in the league).

More Zion Williamson Player Props

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