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Zion Williamson

Zion Williamson Points
Player Prop - 4/11/2024

Sacramento Kings vs New Orleans Pelicans

Zion Williamson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (+106/-141).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -134 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ +106.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Zion Williamson has attempted 18.4 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 3.0 more than he's attempted overall this season.

Zion Williamson has tallied 35.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.3 more than he's tallied in all games this year.

The matchup vs. the Sacramento Kings is a favorable one for shots from the field; the opposition's starting PFs have shot for the 6th-highest field goal percentage in the league this year (52.6%).

The Pelicans rank as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Zion Williamson has attempted 9.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 2.5 more than he's attempted over the course of the season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the NBA, Zion Williamson registers in the 12th percentile for three-point attempts away from home, tallying 0.3 per game this year.

With respect to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 3rd-least aggressive team in the NBA as the away team over the last 20 games has been the Pelicans.

The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.

The Pelicans will likely see a decline in plays in this contest from facing the 2nd-most sluggish tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Kings).

The matchup vs. the Sacramento Kings may be a tough one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 2.4 free throws per game over the last 20 games (least in the NBA).

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