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Zion Williamson

Zion Williamson Points
Player Prop - 2/7/2024

LA Clippers vs New Orleans Pelicans

Zion Williamson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Zion Williamson has successfully made 11.2 buckets per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.9 higher than he's made in all games this year without the home court advantage.

Zion Williamson has played 30.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 80th percentile.

The 8th-fastest tempo away offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the New Orleans Pelicans.

The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games as the road team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

This year, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 4.1 foul shots per game (22nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Clippers, succeeding in their efforts to get to the free-throw line.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Zion Williamson ranks in the 76th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a massive 2.3 fouls per game when playing on the road this year.

The matchup against Los Angeles is a tough one for three-point shots; when the Clippers are playing at home, opposing starting PFs have averaged the 15th-least three-pointers per game in the NBA this year (0.9).

Over the last 10 games, opposing clubs have grabbed 12.2 offensive rebounds per game (5th-most in the NBA) against the Clippers (retaining possessions that can generate additional opportunities for offense).

Zion Williamson has sunk just 63.3% of his free throw attempts this year, significantly lower than his 72.3 rate last year.

Zion Williamson will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city generally lowers stat production across the board.

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