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Zion Williamson

Zion Williamson Points
Player Prop - 1/29/2024

Boston Celtics vs New Orleans Pelicans

Zion Williamson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Zion Williamson has converted 100.0% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games, 56.3% higher than he's converted over the course of the year.

Out of all players in the NBA, Zion Williamson places in the 79th percentile for playing time, posting a monstrous 30.3 minutes per game this year.

The 6th-quickest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the New Orleans Pelicans.

Offensive rebounds save possession and produce added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans rank 7thbest in in the league with 10.9 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

This year when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 3.9 free throws per game (23rd-most in the NBA) vs. the Boston Celtics, making it fairly effortless to draw fouls.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Zion Williamson has accumulated 2.4 personal fouls per game on the road this year, placing him in the 80th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.

As it relates to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 3rd-least aggressive team in the NBA away from their home court this year has been the New Orleans Pelicans.

The matchup vs. the Celtics is a difficult one; they have given up the 14th-least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PFs this year (14.5).

The Pelicans are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 4th-slowest tempo home team in the league over the last 20 games (the Boston Celtics).

While on their home court, the Celtics have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.6) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

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