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Zion Williamson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-130/+100).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -130.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Zion Williamson has converted 50.0% of his attempts from downtown over the last 10 games, 14.3% higher than he's sunk over the course of the year.Zion Williamson has tallied 30.4 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 80th percentile.This year, opposing starting PFs have tallied 16.0 field goal attempts per game (30th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, branding this as a strong matchup.The Pelicans will likely see a spike in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 7th-quickest tempo home offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Dallas Mavericks).Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans rank 7thbest in in the league away from their home court with 11.3 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Among all players in the league, Zion Williamson ranks in the 86th percentile for personal fouls, registering an enormous 2.6 fouls per game while on the road this year.In terms of 3-point attempts, the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the league this year has been the New Orleans Pelicans.The slowest pace team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the New Orleans Pelicans.Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting team, opposing teams have come down with 14.6 offensive boards per game (highest in the league) against the Dallas Mavericks (maintaining possessions that can produce more opportunities for offense).Zion Williamson has made a mere 61.4% of his free throws this season, quite a bit lower than his 72.3 rate last season.
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