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Zion Williamson

Zion Williamson Points
Player Prop - 1/3/2024

Minnesota Timberwolves vs New Orleans Pelicans

Zion Williamson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-140/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Zion Williamson has logged 24.8 points per game over the last 15 games away from his home court, 3.8 more than he's logged overall this year on the road.

Zion Williamson has successfully made 50.0% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games, 14.3% higher than he's made from beyond the arc overall this year.

Zion Williamson has been on the court for 30.8 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 80th percentile.

The Pelicans have played at the 7th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games as the road team.

The Timberwolves have played at the 10th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which should boost possessions for the New Orleans Pelicans.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With respect to three-point attempts, the 4th-least aggressive team in the league this year has been the Pelicans.

The matchup against the Minnesota Timberwolves is a difficult one; they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting PFs this year (14.5).

While at home, the Timberwolves have given up the 4th-most offensive boards per game (12.2) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 3.1 foul shots per game (7th-fewest in the NBA) against the Timberwolves, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.

Zion Williamson stands to suffer a drop-off in output in all facets of the game on account of playing away from home in this matchup.

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