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Zion Williamson

Zion Williamson Points
Player Prop - 12/31/2023

New Orleans Pelicans vs Los Angeles Lakers

 
 
 
Zion Williamson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-117/-117).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -127 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -117.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Zion Williamson has made 75.0% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 10 games at home, 25.0% more than he's converted in all games this year while playing at home.
  • Out of all players in the NBA, Zion Williamson registers in the 77th percentile for playing time, logging a monstrous 30.6 minutes per game when playing at home this year.
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games.
  • The matchup vs. the Los Angeles Lakers is a positive one for 3-point attempts; the opposition's starting PFs have averaged the 30th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (5.6).
  • The Pelicans are expected to get a boost in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 4th-speediest tempo visiting team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Lakers).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Out of all players in the NBA, Zion Williamson lands in the 81st percentile for personal fouls, posting a monstrous 2.5 fouls per game while at home this year.
  • The Pelicans have been the least aggressive offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing at home with respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc.
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
  • Without the home court advantage, the Lakers have allowed the 9th-most offensive boards per game (11.1) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Relative to last year's 72.3% clip, Zion Williamson's free-throw performance has tailed off this year to 58.9%.

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