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Zion Williamson

Zion Williamson Points
Player Prop - 11/12/2023

New Orleans Pelicans vs Dallas Mavericks

Zion Williamson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Zion Williamson has converted 9.6 baskets per game while playing on the road since the start of last season, ranking him in the 97th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Zion Williamson has been on the court for 32.6 minutes per game without the home court advantage since the start of last season, placing him in the 81st percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.

This year when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting PFs have totaled 15.8 shot attempts per game (29th-most in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, marking this as a strong matchup.

The Mavericks have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to increase opportunities for the Pelicans.

Zion Williamson has converted 70.9% of his foul shots over the last 14 games on the road, 29.1% higher than he's put through the net overall this season when playing on the road.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Zion Williamson has been called for 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 0.9 higher than he's been called for in all games this year on the road.

The Pelicans have played at the 6th-least up-tempo pace in the league this year.

The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

The Dallas Mavericks have given up the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.2) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup against the Dallas Mavericks is a difficult one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted just 2.9 foul shots per game since the start of last season (13th-least in the NBA).

More Zion Williamson Player Props

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