Zeke Nnaji Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/30/2023

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Zeke Nnaji

NBA · Player Props

Zeke Nnaji

F-C · Denver Nuggets

Rebounds

Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans · Mar 30, 2023

Updated Mar 31, 2023 1:57 AM UTC

Analysis

Zeke Nnaji Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-109/-119).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -109.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Denver Nuggets have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Pelicans have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (6.6) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Zeke Nnaji will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court tends to boosts stat production across the board.

Favors Under

Zeke Nnaji has compiled 1.2 defensive rebounds per game this year, putting him in the company of the worst players in the NBA by this metric: 23rd percentile.
Zeke Nnaji has tallied 12.7 minutes per game this year, putting him among the least-utilized plays in the league: 24th percentile.
Zeke Nnaji has committed 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's committed over the course of the season.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
The Pelicans have played at the 9th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games on the road, which ought to decrease plays for the Nuggets.

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