Zeke Nnaji Points - Player Prop Bet 4/8/2023

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Zeke Nnaji

NBA · Player Props

Zeke Nnaji

F-C · Denver Nuggets

Points

Utah Jazz vs Denver Nuggets · Apr 8, 2023

Updated Apr 8, 2023 7:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Zeke Nnaji Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Zeke Nnaji has successfully made 72.5% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games on the road, 23.6% higher than he's converted in all games this year without the home court advantage.
The Jazz have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should boost possessions for the Nuggets.
The Denver Nuggets have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Zeke Nnaji has successfully made a lowly 0.3 3-point shots per game this season, quite a bit less than his 0.9 mark last season.
Zeke Nnaji has been on the court for 13.1 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, ranking in the 25th percentile -- putting him among the least-utilized plays in the league.
Zeke Nnaji has committed 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.5 more than he's committed over the course of the year on the road.
The Denver Nuggets check in as the lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home.

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