Zeke Nnaji Points - Player Prop Bet 4/6/2023

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Zeke Nnaji

NBA · Player Props

Zeke Nnaji

F-C · Denver Nuggets

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets · Apr 6, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Zeke Nnaji Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-102/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ +104 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Zeke Nnaji has made 74.2% of his field goals over the last 5 games on the road, 25.9% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season on the road.
Zeke Nnaji has made 61.1% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games on the road, 37.8% higher than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this season away from home.
This matchup is a hard one for attempts from downtown; when the Suns have the home court advantage, opposing teams have averaged the 4th-least three attempts per game in the NBA against them this year (31.7).
The Denver Nuggets have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Zeke Nnaji has averaged 13.0 minutes per game this year, some of the lowest playing time of any player in the league: 25th percentile.
The Denver Nuggets check in as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court.
The Suns have played at the 9th-slowest pace-of-play in the league this year, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Nuggets.
On their home court, the Suns have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.8) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

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