Zeke Nnaji Points - Player Prop Bet 3/31/2023

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Zeke Nnaji

NBA · Player Props

Zeke Nnaji

F-C · Denver Nuggets

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets · Mar 31, 2023

Updated Apr 1, 2023 2:41 AM UTC

Analysis

Zeke Nnaji Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-115/-112).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Zeke Nnaji has converted 69.2% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 14.7% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season.
Zeke Nnaji has made 56.7% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games on the road, 34.2% more than he's converted from three over the course of the year without the home court advantage.
The Denver Nuggets have been the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The matchup against the Suns is a hard one for scoring; opposing clubs have totaled the least buckets per game in the NBA this year (39.9).

Favors Under

Zeke Nnaji has been on the court for 12.8 minutes per game this year, seeing the court far less than most players in the NBA: 24th percentile.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Denver Nuggets check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
While playing at home, the Suns have allowed the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the NBA to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
This matchup may be a favorable one for drawing fouls; opposing clubs have attempted a massive 27.1 free throws per game over the last 25 games (most in the NBA).

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