Zeke Nnaji Points - Player Prop Bet 1/25/2023

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Zeke Nnaji

NBA · Player Props

Zeke Nnaji

F-C · Denver Nuggets

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Denver Nuggets · Jan 25, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM UTC

Analysis

Zeke Nnaji Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-128/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -128.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Zeke Nnaji has converted 54.3% of his field goal attempts this year, ranking him in the 85th percentile out of all players in the league.
Zeke Nnaji has made 53.1% of his shots from downtown over the last 10 games, 24.0% higher than he's converted in all games this season.
Zeke Nnaji has attempted 3.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 more than he's attempted overall this season.
The Denver Nuggets rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games.
The matchup vs. the Bucks is a favorable one; they have given up the 7th-most points per game in the NBA to their opposition this year (111.8).

Favors Under

Zeke Nnaji has averaged 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's averaged overall this year.
The Bucks have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (12.6) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 10 games (which also eliminates additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Denver Nuggets check in as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (which also eliminates additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games when playing away from home.
The Nuggets have played at the 10th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to decrease possessions for the Bucks.

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