Zeke Nnaji Points - Player Prop Bet 1/22/2023

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Zeke Nnaji

NBA · Player Props

Zeke Nnaji

F-C · Denver Nuggets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Jan 22, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM UTC

Analysis

Zeke Nnaji Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-106/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Zeke Nnaji has made 70.2% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games at home, 5.5% higher than he's converted over the course of the season when playing at home.
Zeke Nnaji has attempted 2.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's attempted overall this season.
The Denver Nuggets have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year playing at home.
The Nuggets have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA away from their home court this year, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Thunder.
The matchup vs. the Thunder is a positive one for shots from the field; opposing clubs have compiled the 5th-highest FG% in the NBA this year (46.4%).

Favors Under

Zeke Nnaji has converted a mere 0.2 three-point shots per game this year, quite a bit less than his 0.9 mark last year.
Zeke Nnaji has played 12.6 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 23rd percentile -- putting him among the least-utilized plays in the NBA.
The Thunder have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (12.4) in the NBA to the other team this year (which also eliminates additional chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Thunder may be a challenging one for getting to the free throw line; the other team have attempted a lowly 25.9 foul shots per game this year (2nd-least in the NBA).
The Denver Nuggets rank as the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the league this year as it relates to attempts from beyond the arc.

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