Zeke Nnaji Points - Player Prop Bet 1/20/2023

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Zeke Nnaji

NBA · Player Props

Zeke Nnaji

F-C · Denver Nuggets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Indiana Pacers · Jan 20, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM UTC

Analysis

Zeke Nnaji Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+106/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -128 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Zeke Nnaji has successfully made 3.8 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 higher than he's converted overall this year.
Zeke Nnaji has attempted 2.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's attempted in all games this year.
The Denver Nuggets rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the league this year.
The Nuggets have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should increase opportunities for the Pacers.
The matchup against the Pacers is a strong one for attempts from downtown; opposing clubs have averaged the 7th-most three attempts per game in the NBA since the start of last season (33.0).

Favors Under

Zeke Nnaji has successfully made a mere 0.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 0.9 rate last season.
Zeke Nnaji has played a measly 11.4 minutes per game this season, significantly lower than his 15.9 minutes per game last season.
The Pacers have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (12.1) in the NBA to the other team this year (which will also lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Denver Nuggets check in as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year while playing at home (which also eliminates additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 10th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

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