Zach LaVine Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/13/2023

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Zach LaVine

NBA · Player Props

Zach LaVine

G-F · Chicago Bulls

Rebounds

Milwaukee Bucks vs Chicago Bulls · Nov 13, 2023

Updated Nov 14, 2023 12:47 AM EST

Analysis

Zach LaVine Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-165/+130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -150 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -165.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Zach LaVine has put up 4.1 defensive rebounds per game when playing away from home this year, placing him in the 80th percentile -- near the top of the league by this metric.
Among all players in the league, Zach LaVine slots into the 94th percentile for playing time, logging a colossal 34.3 minutes per game this year.
The Bucks have played at the 3rd-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to more plays for the {OPP_TEAM}.
The Bulls have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Relative to last year's 0.0 rate, Zach LaVine's technical fouls have risen this year to 0.5 per game.
The Chicago Bulls have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league as the home team this year.
This year when they are at home, their opposition has come down with 11.2 offensive boards per game (10th-most in the league) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks (lengthening possessions that can bring about bonus chances for offense).
Zach LaVine will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court tends to reduce player performance in all facets of the game.

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