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Zach LaVine

Zach LaVine Points
Player Prop - 3/14/2025

Phoenix Suns vs Sacramento Kings

Zach LaVine Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Relative to last year's 19.5 rate, Zach LaVine's points per game have risen this year to 23.7.

In comparison to last season's 32.3% rate, Zach LaVine's 3-point efficiency has spiked this season to 41.9%.

Zach LaVine has played 34.8 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 94th percentile.

The Kings check in as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA while playing on the road this year.

The matchup against the Suns may be a favorable one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a whopping 3.4 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (4th-most in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged 1.5 3-pointers per game (fewest in the league) against the Phoenix Suns, labeling this as a difficult matchup.

The Sacramento Kings have played at the 2nd-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home.

The Kings are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities today from facing the 4th-slowest tempo home team in the league over the last 10 games (the Phoenix Suns).

Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Sacramento Kings grade out 9thworst in in the NBA as the away team with a mere 9.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Zach LaVine ought to see a decline in performance across the board due to playing on the visting team in this game.

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