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Zach LaVine

Zach LaVine Points
Player Prop - 3/3/2025

Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings

Zach LaVine Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-108/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ -118.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Zach LaVine has made 10.0 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's put through the net in all games this year.

In contrast to last year's 32.3% clip, Zach LaVine's three-point ability has jumped this year to 41.1%.

Out of all players in the NBA, Zach LaVine places in the 94th percentile for playing time, posting a monstrous 34.6 minutes per game this year.

The matchup against Dallas is a favorable one for threes; when the Mavericks are on their home court, the opposition's starting SGs have tallied the 3rd-most 3-pointers per game in the NBA this year (2.8).

Offensive rebounds continue possession and create added chances for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings grade out 6th-best in in the league while on the road with 12.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With respect to three-point shots, the Kings's feeble 33.2% rate of sunk threes as the visting team ranks 3rd-worst in the NBA this year.

The Kings have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games.

The Sacramento Kings will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from competing against the 7th-slowest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Mavericks).

Over the last 10 games, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 1.8 foul shots per game (6th-fewest in the NBA) against the Dallas Mavericks, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.

Zach LaVine will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling tends to reduce player production for all stats.

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