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Zach LaVine

Zach LaVine Points
Player Prop - 12/28/2024

Chicago Bulls vs Milwaukee Bucks

Zach LaVine Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the NBA, Zach LaVine registers in the 95th percentile for 3-point shots drained while playing at home, registering 3.0 per game this year.

Zach LaVine has averaged 32.7 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 86th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.

The Chicago Bulls rank as the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the league this year as it relates to 3-point attempts.

This year when they are on their home court, opposing starting SFs have totaled 7.0 shots made from the field per game (3rd-highest in the league) vs. the Bucks, marking this as a positive matchup.

The Chicago Bulls have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Zach LaVine has been called for 2.5 personal fouls per game over the last 13 games at home, 0.9 higher than he's been called for over the course of the season at home.

The Bulls will likely see a decline in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 3rd-most lethargic pace away team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Bucks).

The Bulls have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Over the last 5 games when they are playing at home, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 1.8 free throws per game (7th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Bucks, making it tough to get to the foul line.

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