Zach LaVine Points - Player Prop Bet 1/12/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Zach LaVine

G-F · Chicago Bulls

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Golden State Warriors · Jan 12, 2024

Updated Jan 13, 2024 1:21 AM EST

Analysis

Zach LaVine Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Zach LaVine has made 2.8 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.6 higher than he's converted overall this year while playing at home.
Among all players in the league, Zach LaVine ranks in the 95th percentile for playing time, logging a massive 35.4 minutes per game when playing at home this year.
The Bulls rank as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing clubs have brought down 9.7 offensive boards per game (5th-lowest in the league) vs. the Warriors (diminishing possessions that could otherwise spark extra opportunities for offense).
This year when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 3.2 free throws per game (26th-most in the league) vs. the Golden State Warriors, finding it easy to draw fouls.

Favors Under

In contrast to last season's 18.1 clip, Zach LaVine's shots have decreased this season to 15.8 per game.
The Bulls rank as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA with the home court advantage this year.
The matchup against Golden State is a difficult one for three-point shots; when the Warriors are away from home, the opposing team's starting SGs have compiled the 15th-lowest 3-point rate in the league this year (21.6%).
The most lethargic pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the Chicago Bulls.
The Bulls will likely suffer a reduction in possessions in this game from competing against the 8th-slowest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Warriors).