Zach LaVine Points - Player Prop Bet 11/13/2023

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Zach LaVine

NBA · Player Props

Zach LaVine

G-F · Chicago Bulls

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Chicago Bulls · Nov 13, 2023

Updated Nov 14, 2023 12:52 AM EST

Analysis

Zach LaVine Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-123/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Relative to last season's 7.6 rate, Zach LaVine's three-point attempts have risen this season to 8.3 per game.
Among all players in the league, Zach LaVine slots into the 94th percentile for playing time, logging a colossal 34.3 minutes per game this year.
The matchup vs. the Bucks is a good one for field goal attempts; the other team's starting SGs have tallied the 27th-most field goal attempts per game in the league this year (16.2).
The Bucks have played at the 3rd-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to more plays for the {OPP_TEAM}.
The Bulls have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

In comparison to last year's 8.8 mark, Zach LaVine's field goals scored have fallen this year to 7.4 per game.
The Chicago Bulls have been the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the league while on the road this year.
The Chicago Bulls have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league as the home team this year.
This year when they are at home, their opposition has come down with 11.2 offensive boards per game (10th-most in the league) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks (lengthening possessions that can bring about bonus chances for offense).
Zach LaVine will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court tends to reduce player performance in all facets of the game.

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