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Zach LaVine

Zach LaVine Points
Player Prop - 11/1/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs Chicago Bulls

Zach LaVine Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Zach LaVine has compiled 24.9 points per game while on his home court since the start of last season, putting him in the 95th percentile -- among the best in the NBA by this standard.

Zach LaVine has played 35.5 minutes per game away from home since the start of last season, putting him in the 97th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.

The Bulls check in as the 5th-most efficient shooting team in the NBA away from their home court since the start of last season.

Since the start of last season when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting SGs have logged 18.6 points per game (25th-most in the league) vs. the Mavericks, making this a positive matchup for offensive efficiency.

When playing on the road, the Dallas Mavericks have allowed the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.0) in the league to opposing squads since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Zach LaVine has averaged 0.1 technical fouls per game on the road since the start of last season, ranking in the 84th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled when it comes to getting T'ed up.

This matchup is a good one for shots from the field; when the Mavericks are away from home, opposing squads have put up the 7th-highest field goal percentage in the league against them since the start of last season (48.6%).

The Bulls have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA as the home team this year.

The Mavericks have played at the 3rd-slowest tempo in the league since the start of last season, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Bulls.

The Chicago Bulls rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing at home since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

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